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Indiana Economist: Plan for Years of 'Prosperous Growth’

Nov. 22, 2024
With a nice tailwind from productivity gains, Phil Powell says it’s important to no longer make decisions based on a COVID-era mindset.

Pointing to a worker productivity boom and a return to a more traditional pattern of growth, the executive director of the Indiana Business Research Center said the U.S. economy looks set to put up several more good years—and sees the industrial sector as very well positioned to play a major role.

“Fundamentally, 2025 looks really good and I would plan accordingly if I was running a manufacturing organization,” Phil Powell, who also is an associate clinical professor of business economics at Indiana University’s Kelley School of Business.

Speaking on an IndustryWeek webinar Nov. 20, Powell said he was surprised this year at how many companies appeared to put off major investments until they had clarity about the recent presidential election. That there’s certainty now is a good thing and Powell added that he’s hopeful more people will now begin to see the economy’s recent overall strength more clearly.

“Interest rates are coming down—not as fast as we’d like—and productivity is going up, which increases your margins […] And if regulations come down, that reduces your fixed costs,” Powell said. “Your default plan should be for another two or three or four years of prosperous growth.”

About the Author

Geert De Lombaerde | Senior Editor

A native of Belgium, Geert De Lombaerde has been in business journalism since the mid-1990s and writes about public companies, markets and economic trends for Endeavor Business Media publications, focusing on IndustryWeek, FleetOwner, Oil & Gas JournalT&D World and Healthcare Innovation. He also curates the twice-monthly Market Moves Strategy newsletter that showcases Endeavor stories on strategy, leadership and investment and contributes to other Market Moves newsletters.

With a degree in journalism from the University of Missouri, he began his reporting career at the Business Courier in Cincinnati in 1997, initially covering retail and the courts before shifting to banking, insurance and investing. He later was managing editor and editor of the Nashville Business Journal before being named editor of the Nashville Post in early 2008. He led a team that helped grow the Post's online traffic more than fivefold before joining Endeavor in September 2021.

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